Skip to content
Sunday, August 30, 2026 · Guatemala CityQ7.6242 per US$+0.00%
ADVANCE GUATEMALA
Back to the researchResearched · unverified

The investor atlas

Homicide rate and its evolution

Dossier
Macroeconomy, ratings and risk10-macro-riesgo.md
Domain
Sovereign rating and country riskmacro-riesgo
Room
Economy/economia
Audited
Audited

World Bank/UNODC series (VC.IHR.PSRC.P5): 45.7 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants in 2009 (the peak), 32.8 in 2017, 18.2 in 2020 and 23.4 in 2023. Series based on police data (InSight Crime, 2025 Homicide Round-Up): 16.1 in 2024 and 17.4 in 2025, a rebound of 8.0%. Both series were verified in audit, but they are not directly comparable with one another. InSight Crime attributes the 2025 rebound to rivalries between the Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13) and local criminal actors.

The research is written in English; quoted figures, source names and the titles of legal instruments stay in the language their source published them in.

Figures

Tasa de homicidios (pico)Banco Mundial/UNODC, VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
45.7 por 100,0002009
Tasa de homicidiosBanco Mundial/UNODC, VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
32.8 por 100,0002017
Tasa de homicidiosBanco Mundial/UNODC, VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
18.2 por 100,0002020
Tasa de homicidiosBanco Mundial/UNODC, VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
23.4 por 100,0002023
Tasa de homicidios (datos policiales)InSight Crime, 2025 Homicide Round-Up
16.1 por 100,0002024
Tasa de homicidios (datos policiales)InSight Crime, 2025 Homicide Round-Up
17.4 por 100,000 (+8.0%)2025

Caveat

two non-comparable series; a canonical source (National Civil Police (PNC)/Ministry of the Interior) is still outstanding

Sources

Organizations named in the answer

  • Banco MundialBenchmark series: private credit to GDP of 37.2% (2025), average lending rate of 12.85% (2025) and the Enterprise Surveys on collateral requirements (§1, §3, §4).Multilateral
  • UNODCA candidate source for the total number of private guards and the guard-to-police ratio.Multilateral
  • InSight CrimeHomicide Round-Up 2025: Guatemala 17.4 (16.1 in 2024, +8.0%), Nicaragua ~6.0 (2024, the last official figure), Honduras 23.2; proposed feed for benchmark_homicide_rateOther

Directory of organizations

Related records

This layer is research: read from public sources by the archive's own team, every claim cited with the date it was consulted, and audited where it is marked so. It has not entered the verified store — no figure here was fetched back from its source or stamped with a retrieval time — so it wears no red provenance numeral and never mixes with the verified figures.