Moody's latest review of Guatemala (2026)
- Macroeconomy, ratings and risk
- Sovereign rating and country risk
- not audited
Moody's affirmed the Ba1 rating with a stable outlook on 30 Apr 2026, one notch below investment grade. It pointed to “growing institutional momentum, solid economic growth and limited external vulnerability” and to 2025 growth of 4.3%, above the 4.1% it had estimated. It noted that reaching investment grade requires public investment to rise from ~1.6% of GDP to 3–4%. It also warned that the massive inflow of remittances “has not translated into real development” because of high informality. The Ministry of Public Finance (Minfin) published Press Release 29 (May 2026) on the affirmation; the server blocked the download and its text remains to be verified.
The research is written in English; quoted figures, source names and the titles of legal instruments stay in the language their source published them in.
Figures
- Calificación Moody's
- Ba1, perspectiva estable
- Crecimiento del PIB
- 4.3% (vs. 4.1% estimado)
- Inversión pública requerida para grado de inversión
- de ~1.6% a 3–4% del PIB
Caveat
Sources
Related records
This layer is research: read from public sources by the archive's own team, every claim cited with the date it was consulted, and audited where it is marked so. It has not entered the verified store — no figure here was fetched back from its source or stamped with a retrieval time — so it wears no red provenance numeral and never mixes with the verified figures.